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Professor David Firth FBA

Statistical theory, modelling, methods and computation; applications in health and social research
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About this Fellow

David Firth is a statistical methodologist interested in applications to social science and many other areas ranging from animal behaviour to bibliometrics to sports. He is currently Professor of Statistics at the University of Warwick. He was previously Professor of Social Statistics at the University of Oxford, and has held academic positions also at Southampton, Imperial College London, and the University of Texas at Austin. In 2012 he was awarded the Guy Medal in Silver by the Royal Statistical Society, for innovative research in statistical methodology. His research includes the development of novel exit-polling methods that have been highly successful at UK General Elections since 2001, by broadcasters BBC, ITV and Sky. He has been instrumental in founding some major graduate-education initiatives, including the ESRC Oxford Spring School for Quantitative Methods in Social Research, the Leverhulme-Warwick 'Bridges' Doctoral Scholarships Programme, and the UK-wide EPSRC Academy for PhD Training in Statistics. He has served on many committees including the ESRC Research Grants Board, the National Statistics Methodology Advisory Committee, and the Royal Statistical Society Research Section (including two stints as its Chair, and four years as Editor of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society).

Website: http://warwick.ac.uk/dfirth

Appointments

Current post

  • Professor of Statistics, University of Warwick

Past Appointments

  • Editor, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B, Royal Statistical Society, 1998 - 2001
  • Professor of Social Statistics, University of Oxford, 1993 - 2003
  • Chair, Research Section, Royal Statistical Society, 2001 - 2003
  • Chair, Research Section, Royal Statistical Society, 2009 - 1970
  • Professor of Statistics, University of Warwick, University of Warwick, 2003 - 1970
  • , Imperial College of Science and Technology University of London, 1986 - 1987
  • Professor of Statistics, University of Warwick, University of Warwick, 2003 - 1970

Publications

Statistical Modelling of Citation Exchange Between Statistics Journals (with discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A Vol 179, 2016

1970

Bias Reduction of Maximum Likelihood Estimates Biometrika 80, 27-38 1993

1970

Robust Models in Probability Sampling (with discussion) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B, 60 3-21 and 41-56 (Co-author: K E Bennett) 1998

1970

Exit Polling in a Cold Climate: The BBC/ITV Experience in Britain in 2005 (with discussion) Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A, 171, 509-839 (Co-author: J Curtice) 2008

1970

Other Sociology, Demography and Social Statistics Fellows

Professor Gøsta Esping-Andersen

Comparative welfare states, social stratification and inter-generational mobility, family demography and the transformation of gender relations in advanced societies

Professor Per-Olof Wikström

Criminology: Situational Action Theory, crime as moral actions, social ecology of crime, crime & human development, knowledge-based crime prevention policy.

Professor Alan Walker

Social policy & social gerontology including polictical economy, comparitive research in Europe & East Asia, & the theory & application of social quality

Professor Robin Alexander

Education at the interfaces of culture, policy and practice, usually though not exclusively in the primary phase: pedagogy, classroom discourse, curriculum, comparative/international education, education for development.